Which of these contracts could go unprotected in an Expansion Draft before the 2028-29 season?
Source is Basketball Reference. Showing players projected to make over $40million that year.
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Fox is probably the most obvious, Trae Young is right there but I find the Wizards a bit confusing so who knows
That depends on how Fox’s next team feels about him. Spurs will have already moved him
Honestly, I don’t think any team wants to expose any of these players in an expansion draft. Like I think Denver would love an upgrade over Jamal Murray for that money, but the best way to do that is to trade him, not let him go in the expansion draft and go to free agency..
Aren’t there special rules for teams who get players picked during an expansion draft? In terms of how they can use the salary relief?
People speculated just like this when the Bobcats expansion draft happened. Teams still protected players on “bad” deals. Most of the time it’s beneficial to keep a bad contract to use as an expiring trade piece at some point rather than just lose that player for nothing in return. Another factor is that leaving players unprotected basically tells the player they don’t want them and can sour relationships.
Joel Embiid, De’Aron Fox, Jamal Murray and Trae Young are the guys I could see being unprotected. All of them are a bit overpaid and their teams could be trying to create cap space that season. With Denver it would hinge on the free agents they could be getting and on Murray getting repeatedly injured until then.
That Trea Young contract was horrible the second they signed it
Seattle is hoping Paolo is available
Fox is the only one that their team would be willing to dump for nothing in return.
Raptors would have the opportunity to do the funniest thing
Jaylen Brown maybe? He’s a good player but that’s a hell of an overpay
Nah, even if the Sixers wanted off his deal he’ll be an expiring contract that season anyway which has good value
A guy like Fox will still have two years left
oh yeah fox is definitely getting released if harper and castle develop their ball handling abilities by then
It’s so funny how his contract hovers around Devin Bookers and Spidah’s but you chose to single out the one with a finals MVP.
I mean look at the spreadsheet, philly has 2 other players on there, it’s gonna be hard to build a team with 3 players getting paid that much
I agree that the second apron and current cap are restrictive but the Knicks just won a chip with 3 max players. Thunder have 3 max players and are in title contention.
It’s just odd to me someone would look at this list and just think JB is the most egregious when he’s one of the most accomplished on there.
I feel like Banchero, Franz, triple J or Booker are the most obvious ones to me. I’m not even sure JB would be in the top 10 of players in this convo.
Only ones I see as potentials are Trae, Bane, and maybe Fox.
For Embiid, I think he’s either too useful or retires. I think with the others, you should be able to get value back in a trade.
And even with Trae, I think he’s going to ball out for the Wiz personally.
Embiid is obviously going unprotected. In fact, I can see the Sixers extending him just to make it more palatable for extension teams.
Kawhi, Fox and Trae most certainly will be unprotected.
I think one of Lauri and JJJ will go unprotected as Utah tries to shed salary, especially with Peterson and Bailey’s extensions that will be kicking in or near.
Chet will go unprotected as OKC tries to shed salary.
One of Paolo and Franz won’t be in Orlando anymore. I don’t think either will be unprotected anyway.
LaMelo will be unprotected, after the Wolves’s gamble backfired and he keeps getting injured.
I don’t think a team would just lose that salary slot for nothing.
It’s not nothing.
These teams get a moving space by giving away those fat contracts while Seattle and Vegas get players to fill up the salary floor. If someone like Fox or Bane stay at their team with those contracts no one will agree to trade for them but if you let them go you basically have $50M extra space to go shopping at the free agency.
That’s nothing
You guys are dumb as hell.
well you have small feet and cant cook
Joel, Fox, probably Lauri and Trae, OG, maybe BancheroEdit: not listed, but AD also. AD and Trae will depend on if the Wiz make noise or not, but Dawkins and Winger may not do either if the team is solid enough.
They’d have to inherit the contract. The player is owed that money, the league can’t just go “an expansion team wanted you so now you don’t get the money you agreed to”
That’s not how it works. When an expansion team selects a player they take the players full contract they have at the time. They don’t sign them to a new deal.