East

Pistons: 50 - 66
Celtics: 51 - 63
Cavaliers: 50 - 57
Knicks: 44 - 57
Hawks: 39 - 54
76ers: 39 - 53
Hornets: 41 - 50
Raptors: 39 - 50
Magic: 34 - 50
Heat: 37 - 47
Bucks: 26 - 38
Bulls: 21 - 37
Pacers: 12 - 25
Nets: 18 - 24
Wizards: 15 - 19

West

Thunder: 59 - 70
Spurs: 54 - 67
Nuggets: 45 - 65
Rockets: 47 - 61
Lakers: 45 - 56
Suns: 38 - 55
Timberwolves: 43 - 53
Clippers: 35 - 50
Trail Blazers: 36 - 47
Warriors: 32 - 43
Mavericks: 21 - 33
Pelicans: 24 - 31
Grizzlies: 22 - 30
Jazz: 17 - 30
Kings: 19 - 26

The nuggets played a whopping 20 1-possession games, going 9-11. Cleveland played the least out of good teams, just 7 1-possession games.

russlandbot | Nuggets

123 | 5 hours ago

Nuggets would lead by 15 early in the 2nd quarter and then somehow be down by 10 halfway through the 4th and then comeback and win or lose by a possession. I think a lot of that falls on coaching when you can’t maintain a lead.

LordOfLimbos | Pistons

27 | 5 hours ago

Those Nuggets-Pistons games were quite a show last season

supert0426

22 | 4 hours ago

Jokic sits at the end of the first and start of the second, as well as the start of the 4th.

Idk if it’s coaching so much as the team is a bottom 5-8 team in the league talent-wise when he isn’t on the floor.

EngleTheBert | Nuggets

7 | 4 hours ago

Except the nuggets did it while Jokic was out as well in the very first game after he was injured in fact

Maglor125

2 | an hour ago

It’s a defense issue. The Nuggets had the best offense and a bottom 10 defense in the league, so at any moment in a Nuggets game either team can go on insane runs.

IntelligentAd5460

4 | 5 hours ago

i remember that lakers game where basically everything that could go wrong did for the nuggets

jonnylaw | Timberwolves

1 | 3 hours ago

Doubling down on Adelman is pure hubris. He’s not good enough and they’ll still have to fire him after this season.

Icangetloudtoo_ | Wizards

67 | 5 hours ago

The wizards being basically the same is killing me 😭 nothing could save that team

StrategyTop7612 [OP] | Clippers

18 | 5 hours ago

Just 4 1-possesion games is diabolical work…

Briggity_Brak | Tampa Bay Raptors

0 | 4 hours ago

#contractthewizards

No_Inspector_3456

35 | 5 hours ago

Think about LeBron in the Finals. I can think of two less Rings possible on two 1-possession-plays.

Sometimes Luck plays a part in your legacy (at least one of them had nothing to do with him)

andyschest2

9 | 4 hours ago

So you’re only going to reverse his one-posession wins and not his losses? By your logic, the Spurs were lucky to sweep the Cavs in 2007 when it could have easily been 2-2 after 4 games.

There’s a reason the best teams consistently win the one-posession games.

-passionate-fruit- | Iran

11 | 5 hours ago

Way more than counteracted by:

The health of his two premier teammates in Miami crapping the bed after a few years, when they ordinarily would’ve still been elite players. Heat dynasty cut short.
Both Paul George and Kawhi passing up as LeBron’s teammate in possibly the NBA’s most desirable city for players. Either one joins, the LeBron Lakers are probably a dynasty.
To a lesser extent than the other two, his star teammate health in the first Cavs-Warriors Finals encounter. Very winnable if Cavs had all their guns.

Spiritual_Wall_2309

1 | 4 hours ago

No way you can call that a dynasty. That PG or Kawhi pair with LeBron a dynasty. Same deal with AD, they all have health issues and miss many games.

-passionate-fruit- | Iran

1 | 4 hours ago

My premise on that point factors that the Lakers won a ring even without one of them, and that the disasterous Westbrook trade never happens. It gets pretty speculative if you assume the health of AD and Kawhi or PG plays out similarly, but if the middle of the team that had proven to be solid for the first two AD years doesn’t get broken up, it’s pretty likely the Lakers win one more championship, and another for a third total stands a decent chance.

I remember reading hypothetical bookmaker championship odds during the Kawhi sweepstakes had Lakers as favorites against the field if Kawhi joined them. Oddsmakers were basically saying the AD-Bron-Kawhi squad would’ve been as good as the Durant-Steph Warriors.

dbot25454

1 | 4 hours ago

It would have been better

Spiritual_Wall_2309

1 | 4 hours ago

Might as well add all the best free agents to the Lakers and they always have their best center not non sense trade . The moon, sun, all planets line up perfectly in a straight line. No war in the world.

Sure, everything is all about working for the Lakers and all other teams are just farming system.

-passionate-fruit- | Iran

1 | 3 hours ago

??? I’ve just been pointing out a few big instances of LeBron getting unlucky, in contrast to OP’s assertion that LeBron got lucky on a few occasions that could’ve cost him rings.

Illustrious-Care5721

13 | 4 hours ago

Thunder having a 70-win ceiling is absolutely ridiculous.

Spemanz92 | Thunder

7 | 3 hours ago

I truly believe they would have clearly gotten 70+ with a less injured squad. They are just so well oiled for the regular season

AzTrix22 | Suns

3 | 4 hours ago

Yh I remember so many times in the 4th quarter last year we were awful, tossing away big leads and reverting to too much isoball rather than spraying the ball out and using good offball movement and positioning.

IntelligentAd5460

2 | 5 hours ago

obviously 1 possesion games are like 50 percent luck but i feel having a top tier iso scorer or two really helps you win those types of games

gignac | HOU

7 | 4 hours ago

Counterpoint is our record despite having kd lol

IntelligentAd5460

2 | 4 hours ago

kd iso scoring is weird because he an amazing iso scorer but it dosent open up anyone else

probablymade_thatup | Bucks [MIL] Luke Kornet

3 | 3 hours ago

I know this is a long-time criticism of KD, but to be fair, in crunch time against these Rockets, I am selling out on KD and there isn’t really another scorer to punish a double team

andyschest2

1 | 3 hours ago

Rebounding and free-throw shooting are probably the biggest factors. Whatever allows you to control the clock more effectively than the other team. But yeah, iso scoring can certainly help, in that you can let one guy keep the ball to wind the clock down.

SimTheGame

1 | 4 hours ago

Those 1-possession games are not the same coin flip. A 1-point favorite that finished 102-101 is a different script than a 9-point favorite that landed there. The posted spread and total already said which of those nights were toss-ups and which just finished close. If you take every priced market as true and play the game out a few thousand times, the Nuggets 9-11 split sits inside a distribution, not a ⁵⁰⁄₅₀ pile. The floor and ceiling then come from the book’s own card, not from flipping every 1-3 point result.

cemereth

1 | 4 hours ago

Does this also count all overtime games in favor of/against the team?

StrategyTop7612 [OP] | Clippers

2 | 3 hours ago

Yes it does

Lobster15s | Heat

1 | an hour ago

This should have been a side by side with actual records. Either way, pretty dope.

If you swung every 1 possession result (1-3 point win or loss) one way, here are the floors and ceilings of every team from the 2025-26 season