Could Durant surpass Kareem for second in all time scoring?
Kareem’s scoring record of 38,387 points was generally considered unbreakable up until around a decade ago, when LeBron started approaching it without a noticeable decline in his play. LeBron has extended the scoring record by over 5,000 points; it is almost certainly unbreakable, now.
However, we could potentially see a second player surpass Kareem. Kevin Durant currently stands at fifth in the all time scoring leaders in the NBA at 32,597 - a gap of 5,790 points to tie with Kareem for second.
Given his playstyle and outspoken passion for the game, I don’t think it would be unreasonable for KD to play 3-5 more seasons; but, will his scoring and durability hold up?
I’ve calculated the scoring averages he’d need to maintain to tie with Kareem, given he plays 65 games per season on average:
3 seasons (Age 40) - 29.7ppg
4 seasons (Age 41) - 22.7ppg
5 seasons (Age 42) - 17.8ppg
Thoughts?