Why does the NBA pretend tanking is worse than teams being in permanent purgatory?
All the tanking talk that has taken over NBA discourse this season seems incredibly misguided. At least on here, it seems to be consensus that the teams in the worst position are the ones that are consistently mid, putting together teams of past-their-prime veterans and low-ceiling prospects just to end up in (or just outside) the play-in. Ask me how I know! Most people would say that the Kings and Bulls are in a worse situation than the Jazz and Wizards for this reason. So why are we focused on making it harder for these teams to actually rebuild? Flattening lottery odds just disincentivizes perennial play-in teams from actually rebuilding, because the rebuild will take far longer—see the Pistons taking 5+ years to put a good team around Cade because they fell hard in the lotto every year afterwards.
When tanking is done right, the ends justify the means; when Adam Silver says “There is an aspect of team-building that is called a genuine rebuild, a rebuild with integrity,” it doesn’t actually refer to the extent of the tank, but the timeline of the rebuild. Of the unanimously considered ‘best front offices’ in the league—OKC, San Antonio, Boston—two of them bottomed out, got lucky in the lottery and picked extremely well, rebounding back to a top team in a few seasons. One of them exported this process to another team and were able to compete even faster because of it.
If this is the standard to which all teams are measured, why make it harder to replicate the conditions that facilitated their rise? A more reasonable policy directive would aim to expedite the rebuild process to incentivize these ‘rebuilds with integrity’ and give perennial low lotto/play-in teams like the Kings/Bulls more reasons to commit to a full rebuild. In leagues like this, success is inevitably cyclical: the health of the league is best promoted by ensuring the cycle is available and effective for all teams. Flattening lottery odds further and punishing tanking does nothing to this effect.