The NBA has a massive timeout problem and why it leads to declining ratings
Here’s my offseason take. To clarify though, despite the headline this is not just a post about ratings, I personally dont care about ratings, but about the quality of NBA Basketball as a spectator sport. Which in turn of course effects the ratings.
The NBA complains about shrinking ratings, about declining interest in the league and Adam Silver is thinking of all sorts of things to fix this, mid season tourney and so on, but none of that actually address the core issue of the NBA
Why are the ratings getting worse and worse every year?
Lets be honest, NBA Basketball as a product is simply not a great spectator sport. Who knows someone who is not already a Basketball fan but manages to sit through a random regular season game and enjoys it? Its simply impossible, even I as a Basketball fan hate it. Why? Because of the following things:
There is simply no rhythm to an NBA game. You are constantly taken out of the action by timeout after timeout after TV timeout, ads, ads and ads. It is simply not fun.
So many people voluntarily wait for the highlights instead of watching a live game, that tells you all you need to know.
On the other hand watching Eurobasket or Euroleague, I am always reminded how entertaining Basketball can actually be. How freeflowing the game can actually be. The Eurobasket final was so incredibly intense, yet it felt like it ended so quickly. The same game in the NBA would have taken 45 minutes longer, but not with actual playing time, but because of additional timeouts and ads. So this is not a Basketball issue, but an NBA issue.
So I wanted to have actual numbers
Timeouts per game | NBA | Euroleague |
---|---|---|
Coach Timeouts | 14 | 10 |
TV Timeouts | 8 (is counted against a coach timeout) | 4 (is counted against a coach timeout) |
Extra Timeouts for challenges | 2 | 0 |
Maximum number of Timeouts | 16 | 10 |
Duration of timeout | 75 seconds | 60 seconds |
Maximum duration of timeouts in a game | 20 minutes | 10 minutes |
1 Timeout every x Minutes | 3 | 4 |
So a typical NBA game can have double the amount of timeout breaks as a Euroleague game in minutes. You have a maximum of 10 minutes of timeouts in the Euroleague, and 20 minutes in the NBA. And the eye test supports this. Despite the lack of talent, to me at least but also to my non-Basketball fans, a game of Euroleague/FIBA is just so much easier to sit through, so much more enjoyable. Because frankly, its about the sport, whereas in the NBA you can feel its about money.
Now in the past the NBA still had solid ratings, even though the timeout situation has always been like this. How?
Well the NBA has always marketed itself as a superstars league. What was supposed to draw the casual audience, the non-NBA fans to the TVs was not the actual product or sport but the superstars and storylines. People tuned in to watch Kobe, Shaq, LeBron, MJ. Not necessarily because they wanted to watch the Cavs.
Now this strategy works as long as you have those charismatic mainstream superstars. And the NBA has always had them since the 80s. There was always either some superstar or captivating storyline/team that drew the mainstream audience. The NBA doesnt need to worry about Basketball fans, they will watch either wy, but about the casual audience. And they were drawn to the TV by the superstars.
But now, if you exclude the almost 40 year old generation of LeBron, KD and Curry. Who is actually the marketable, charismatic face of the league? Who is able to draw a mainstream audience? Americans notoriously dont care about internationals so Giannis or Doncic will never be able to be the kind of mainstream eye catchers that american superstars were. So who remains of the under 34 year olds? Tatum? Ant? AD? KAT? Shai? They are great players, but does a grandma from the suburbs know any of them like she probably knew the stars from the 80s till 2000s?
So the NBA very obviously does not have those charismatic marketable mainstream superstars anymore. So the only way to draw the casual audience is through the actual sport/product. But that, as mentioned above, is simply not going to captivate them because nobody can mange to sit through an NBA game and enjoy it. You will never be able to make a random non-Basketball fan voluntarily watch a game of Rockets - Dallas because after 2 minutes they will be like “god damn it, another timeout, another foul, another ad break”.
But this is not just about ratings. Even if we dont think about casual audience or audience. I just want the NBA to be more enjoyable to watch. I want to be able to sit down and watch a game of NBA and not feel like I am looking at Basketball inbetween ads. I want the focus of the league to be the sport, not to squeeze the maximum amount of ad money out of the league. I want the NBA to be enjoyable and easy to watch a game, even if you are not personally invested in any of the teams/players.
I love watching Fiba/Euroleague games, but I genuinely can not sit through an NBA game
So, the main reason to me why ratings are down is that the product itself is simply not enjoyable enough to watch on the TV and they dont have the superstars anymore that might otherwise draw an audience.
To fix this, the NBA simply needs to
Now, this of course will never happen because as I said the NBA is all about money, and neither the league, nor the owners nor the players would be interested in fewer timeouts -> Less money.
But I think this is a very shortsighted idea. Yes, in the short term ad money will reduce. But in the long term I am 100% sure you make the NBA more popular, ratings will rise, so over the long term rising ratings will again lead to more ad money. And to compensate for the lack of timeouts/ad revenue, you can simply introduce jersey ads or court ads. I for one would always trade off half of the timeouts we have for one ad on the jersey.
Im just thinking of how incredibly entertaining and enjoyable Basketball with the FIBA Timeout and foul ruleset would be but with NBA talent. Despite the lack of talent I had way more fun watching a close game at the Eurobasket over almost any NBA game, even in the playoffs